Volatile week as investors assess recession prospects

LONDON – European markets are set for a higher open on Friday to end a volatile week, as investors around the world assess inflation and fears of an economic recession.

Britain’s FTSE 100 is seen around 57 points higher at 7,077, Germany’s DAX is set to gain around 139 points to 13,052 and France’s CAC 40 is expected to add around 73 points to 5,956.

Central banks last week made aggressive moves to rein in inflation, and investors are now hopeful that rising consumer prices will be brought under control as commodities prices – notably oil and economic output bellwether copper – pulled back sharply in recent days. Energy and food have been the main drivers of inflation around the world.

However, this aggressive policy tightening path has stoked fears of a recession, which US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress on Wednesday was a “possibility” as he reiterated that the central bank is “strongly committed” to bringing down inflation.

Shares in Asia-Pacific were higher overnight, led by Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index and South Korea’s Kospi. Stateside, stock futures gained in early premarket trade on Friday as Wall Street looked to grind out a rare positive week amid a challenging first half of the year.

Economic data releases from Europe on Friday include UK retail sales for May, Spanish final first-quarter gross domestic product figures and Germany’s Ifo Institute’s economic sentiment surveys for June.

UK consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since records began, new data from research company GfK revealed Friday, as the country faces inflation running at a 40-year high, slowing growth and a spiraling cost of living crisis for households.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson suffered a double blow overnight as his ruling Conservative Party lost two key by-elections to the main opposition Labor Party and to the Liberal Democrats.

The defeats in the two constituencies at opposite ends of England – seen as a test of Johnson’s standing after the “partygate” scandal and amid the cost-of-living crisis – prompted the immediate resignation of Conservative Party Chairman Oliver Dowden.

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